Quote:
Originally Posted by EdInArk
Of course we could vastly reduce the accident rate by eliminating all the stupid stuff people do, but that's a pipe dream. People do stupid stuff -- always have, always will.
What's the accident / fatality rate for self-driving cars?
For people-driven cars?
Which is lower?
I ask these in the form of questions because I don't know the answers. Maybe self-driving cars haven't been subject to enough testing yet to compare them.
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NTSB data shows 1.18 fatalities for every 100 million miles driven by human operated vehicles.
Google: 1 fatality per 5 million autonomously driven miles.
Uber: 1 fatality per 3 million autonomously driven miles.
So far, victory for the humans, despite their rampant stupidity and poor driving habits.
It is clear that no junior detective viewing satellite images or reading unofficial reports will be able to offer useful information regarding this incident.
An interesting point brought up is that of responsibility and liability. While shirking responsibility is a way of life for many, including the manufacturers of the software used in autonomous vehicles, it does not seem unreasonable to foresee a time when the buyers of said vehicles will be required to sign a disclosure stating that they, the buyer, will assume all responsibility for the safe operation of the vehicle. This, despite the the endless testing, research and certifications which demonstrate that the vehicle is completely safe and harmless to themselves or others.
Since we will be traveling in vehicles which are deemed to be considerably safer than those operated by humans, will insurance premiums be drastically reduced? Will insurance even be necessary?
The insurance industry certainly won't be pleased with such a development. Nor will the auto body repair shops.
How about that vehicle reported a few posts back that drove itself into a corner and stopped? Yes, perfectly safe. How will that go over in actual traffic conditions?
How many autonomous vehicles will stop when a light turns yellow while the two cars behind it are full gas to get through the intersection on a red? See it every day when I go through a questionable yellow and see a car 50' behind coming through as well.
Will these cars be able to anticipate a car swerving because they can see the driver on the phone, texting, eating or applying make up? Or preparing to make a lane change because of a slight head movement?
Right now the numbers are hugely in favor of humans and what must be taken into consideration is that many of the autonomous miles have been measured in controlled environments.