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creativepart · 03-22-2020, 11:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by docj

I'm convinced there's more than just a "pre-existing condition." Maybe it's a genetic marker of some kind that makes a person more susceptible. I'm sure we'll eventually know if this is the case, but probably not in time to save people from this pandemic.

They've already discovered that men are more likely to develop symptoms and that they are more likely to turn severe and more likely to die. The Man/Woman breakdown in illness is 60/40 and death is about 70/30 worldwide.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/other...en/ar-BB11vVvt

docj · 03-22-2020, 11:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by creativepart

They've already discovered that men are more likely to develop symptoms and that they are more likely to turn severe and more likely to die. The Man/Woman breakdown in illness and death to Covid-19 is ~about 60/40 worldwide.

The trouble with trying to understand this kind of data is that it's impossible to know the health of the population before they got sick. For example, I read one new report which said that Chinese men smoke and drink significantly more than Chinese women. Therefore, is the bias towards men the result of that rather than an affinity for the disease infecting men?

Similarly, I don't know if smoking was/is as prevalent in Italy as it once was in other European countries. If smoking damages lung tissue does it create an easier entry point for the virus?

All of these sorts of factors have to be analyzed before we can draw accurate conclusions.

0rion · 03-24-2020, 06:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by docj

The WHO statistics I saw this morning indicate that up to ~85% of people may be asymptomatic, meaning that they never know they are infected. However, we know that some get very, very sick. My scientific mind keeps telling me that we don't fully understand why some get so sick and others don't. I'm convinced there's more than just a "pre-existing condition." Maybe it's a genetic marker of some kind that makes a person more susceptible. I'm sure we'll eventually know if this is the case, but probably not in time to save people from this pandemic.

When you start working the percentages that's when the monster starts rearing it's head. With how contagious this thing is and just the sheer number of people that will get it then the 20% requiring hospitalization is overwhelming. I've read article after article on this thing the last few weeks and each one is more concerning than the last.

Oldman5145 · 03-27-2020, 08:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ventana LE

We have a trip scheduled 4/2 for a month. The highlites are several days each in Waco, San Antonio, Houston, New Orleans, the Florida panhandle, Ft Meyers & Daytona. The wife says we need to cancel due to the Covid-19 problem. Deep down I feel she's correct but I'm having a hard time starting the cancellation process. We are 70 and 65 respectively with no underlying health concerns. Thoughts would be appreciated.

Great trip you have planned! We did almost the exact same trip last year at the end of March. You are going to miss my favorite place and that is Galveston go around Houston it is just a HUGE city. If you are planning on stopping and not sightseeing GO. If you plan to go to San Antonio riverfront shops and restaurant's, sightsee at your stops, CANCEL now. New Orleans, as far as cleanliness on Bourbon Street, is questionable during normal times. I would not go there

! That is a current HOT SPOT for COVID-19.
Save that trip for after this mess, don't let that be your legacy.

Linda Bohr · 03-28-2020, 08:50 PM

Orange County Florida is now shut down. This includes Orlando. No unnecessary travel, no visiting with friends unless emergency, plus only necessary shopping for medical, groceries or pharmacy. Wash hands, use hand sanitizer, six feet between people. Nomadic Fanatic, Heberd's Travels both in same Thousand Trails. Park not closed, but nearly full.

winniman · 03-28-2020, 09:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Linda Bohr

Orange County Florida is now shut down. This includes Orlando. No unnecessary travel, no visiting with friends unless emergency, plus only necessary shopping for medical, groceries or pharmacy. Wash hands, use hand sanitizer, six feet between people. Nomadic Fanatic, Heberd's Travels both in same Thousand Trails. Park not closed, but nearly full.

The Herberts said they have to leave on April 7th. That makes no sense in a lockdown.